intuitive probability

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• Probability theory — is the branch of mathematics concerned with analysis of random phenomena.[1] The central objects of probability theory are random variables, stochastic processes, and events: mathematical abstractions of non deterministic events or measured… …   Wikipedia

• probability theory — Math., Statistics. the theory of analyzing and making statements concerning the probability of the occurrence of uncertain events. Cf. probability (def. 4). [1830 40] * * * Branch of mathematics that deals with analysis of random events.… …   Universalium

• Probability density function — Boxplot and probability density function of a normal distribution N(0, σ2). In probability theory, a probability density function (pdf), or density of a continuous random variable is a function that describes the relative likelihood for this… …   Wikipedia

• Bayesian probability — Bayesian statistics Theory Bayesian probability Probability interpretations Bayes theorem Bayes rule · Bayes factor Bayesian inference Bayesian network Prior · Posterior · Likelihood …   Wikipedia

• Conditional probability distribution — Given two jointly distributed random variables X and Y, the conditional probability distribution of Y given X is the probability distribution of Y when X is known to be a particular value. If the conditional distribution of Y given X is a… …   Wikipedia

• The Intuitive Criterion — DefinitionThe Intuitive Criterion, first described in 1987 Cho and Kreps article, is a refinement of the solution concept that allows the modeller to choose between multiple perfect Bayesian equilibria.Formally, we can eliminate a particular… …   Wikipedia

• Moral certainty — is a concept of intuitive probability. It means a very high degree of probability, sufficient for action, but short of absolute or mathematical certainty. The concept stems from a statement in Aristotle s Nicomachean Ethics that one must be… …   Wikipedia

• Bernard Koopman — Bernard Osgood Koopman (1900 ndash;1981) was a French born American mathematician, known for his work in ergodic theory, the foundations of probability, statistical theory and operations research. After living in France and Italy, the Koopmans… …   Wikipedia

• epistemology — epistemological /i pis teuh meuh loj i keuhl/, adj. epistemologically, adv. epistemologist, n. /i pis teuh mol euh jee/, n. a branch of philosophy that investigates the origin, nature, methods, and limits of human knowledge. [1855 60; < Gk… …   Universalium

• Quantum mechanics — For a generally accessible and less technical introduction to the topic, see Introduction to quantum mechanics. Quantum mechanics …   Wikipedia

• Martingale (betting system) — For the generalised mathematical concept, see martingale (probability theory). Originally, martingale referred to a class of betting strategies popular in 18th century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the… …   Wikipedia